This is a period of radical change in the political scene of Europe. It is not only about Donald Trump in the White House, but also about Olaf Scholz in the chancellor's office and the new elections in Germany. Europe is facing increasing problems and the current leaders have lost their mandate of real power. No time to wait for videos. Naturally, a completely new balance of power will emerge, and Poland can benefit from it.
“Tusk wants to talk about Ukraine without Germany”, “Poland wants to play a leading role in the European defense policy” – such titles in the German press are the result of the press conference of the Polish Prime Minister on November 9, which he announced strongly. cooperation with countries that “have a very similar view on the geopolitical situation.
– We can expect the visit of the President of France to Warsaw, the Prime Minister of Great Britain or myself to London. In a few days we will receive the Secretary General of NATO. Prime Minister Donald Tusk announced on November 9 that he will also visit Stockholm, where he will meet with the Scandinavian and Baltic countries.
Donald Tusk did not mention Germany in his statement, Süddeutsche Zeitung explains: “It seems that Tusk wants to take the leading role in European defense policy from Germany – because Berlin does not do it. This can be understood. as an insult or simply as a very legitimate defense of interests.
What will happen after the fall of the governing coalition? Opposition insists on early elections, head of government has other plans Jakub Loska/Fakti o Świecie TVN24 BiS
Politics: Donald Tusk took over
After the election of Donald Trump as the new president of the United States, there is a diplomatic fever in Europe. The current way of thinking is best reflected in the words of the head of diplomacy of the European Union in Warsaw.
– It cannot be that the Americans act and the Europeans only react. We have to take responsibility ourselves. We must assure Ukraine that our support will continue, says Josep Borrell, the EU's diplomatic chief.
READ ALSO: Europe at a crossroads. “We already know where this is going.”
Trump's election coincided with the collapse of the governing coalition in Germany. The Politico portal in Brussels wrote in a text entitled “Donald Tusk is in charge” that Warsaw is trying to take advantage of Berlin's problems and “after German Chancellor Tusk was allowed to participate in the October meeting of the Quartet (US, UK, France and Germany), the prime minister of Poland. He responded to this favor by saying that Berlin is too busy with the collapse of the ruling coalition that it does not deserve an invitation.
Germany's ruling coalition has collapsed after the finance minister resigned, Reuters reported
Who will be the new chancellor?
On the evening of November 10, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz announced on ARD TV that he plans to talk to Vladimir Putin soon. The question is what position he will take in the conversation with the Russian dictator. According to German press reports, on December 16, the Bundestag will vote for a vote of confidence in Scholz's government, as a result of which early elections will probably be called. Their unofficial date is February 23.
– It should be assumed that Olaf Scholz will not be the next chancellor of Germany. This means that if early elections are held, the SPD, which currently holds around 15 percent, will not be able to nominate the chancellor as head of government. In this sense, this is the end of Olaf Scholz's political career, explains Prof. Arkadiusz Stempin from the University of Freiburg and the University of Korczak.
The new chancellor will most likely be Friedrich Merz, leader of the CDU/CSU bloc, which is clearly leading in the polls. Such a scenario would improve relations with Tusk's government, as the Christian Democrats of Germany and the Civic Coalition are allies on the European party scene.
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Main photo credit: Radek Pietruszka/PAP/EPA
