Recently discovered asteroid 2024 YR4 is 1.6%. It could hit the ground in 2032. The probability of a collision is small, but increases regularly. If the space lock hits our planet, it can cause serious, although only local damage.
Scientists from NASA and the European Space Agency (ESA) estimated that there is 1.6% of the asteroid named YR4 in 2024. Possibility of collision with the ground. The probability is small, but increases regularly. The asteroid was discovered just after 1.2%. Some researchers believe it could be up to 2 or 2.3%.
Asteroid 2024 YR4. The chances of collisions are increasing
The asteroids range from 40 to just 90 meters in size. “Asteroids of this size can hit the ground every millennium on average, causing serious local damage” – the ESA has previously been notified.
See: They thought the asteroid was rushing to the ground. They confused her with a masker car.
Scientists reassure them that they don’t even resemble the size of an asteroid called a “planet” murderer. These types of rocks are at least 1 kilometer in size and can cause serious damage. Even if they don’t destroy the wide area, they can affect the climate and lead to mass extinctions.
It was 66 million years ago that a 10-kilometer asteroid hit the ground, leading to the extinction of dinosaurs. It also changed the climate and led to conditions comparable to nuclear winters.
NASA observations
The 2024 YR4 was first noted on December 27th, with the first warning issued against a potential conflict in 2032. The asteroid will soon disappear from view and will reappear in 2028.
See: Asteroid 2024 is rushing towards the ground. Scientist: It could hit her
Currently, asteroids move around the Sun around their flat orbit, moving in almost straight lines away from the ground. Scientists hope to be able to estimate the likelihood of a collision with the ground before it becomes visible.
Scientists have been preparing for the possibility of an asteroid collision with the ground for many years. In September 2022, a NASA probe was sent into space and later hit the Dimorphos asteroid. It was a test to check for the possibility of altering the trajectory of objects that could threaten the Earth.
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