In its latest analysis, the Institute for the Study of War said that the Russian military is suffering serious losses on the Ukrainian front, which threatens them in military operations. This American think tank adds that the morale of the Russian military community is deteriorating due to the treatment of soldiers as “cannon fodder” and ineffective command tactics.
According to think tank analysts, since October 2023, Russian forces have lost at least five divisions of armored vehicles and tanks in the Pokrovsky district of Donetsk region in eastern Ukraine alone.
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Although Russian forces have likely accumulated a significant amount of equipment in priority areas of the front line, the depletion of tanks and armored vehicles, as well as the current rate of production of armored vehicles in Russia, are likely to make these losses excessive in the long term. .
Russian T-90M tank in Luhansk region
“The Russian army cannot withstand such losses forever.”
ISW noted signs that the Russian military is finding it increasingly difficult to recruit enough forces to replace losses on the front. Experts recall that Vladimir Putin confirmed the continuing shortage of military personnel during his speech on September 7. ISW also notes that Russia is forcing immigrants to join the military.
“The Russian military almost certainly cannot sustain daily casualties of more than 1,200 men forever, especially since Putin wants to avoid new conscription. But even conscription will not solve Putin's main problem – finding enough people to work in factories and factories.” at the same time they complete the front”, writes the research center.
Russia armyamil.ru
According to the ISW, Russian forces occupied a total of about 1,500 square kilometers, lost almost 200 tanks, more than 650 armored vehicles and suffered about 80,000 casualties during the intensive offensive in September and October.
“The Russians will eventually gain a significant operational advantage if Ukrainian forces do not stop Russian offensive activities, but the Russian military cannot afford to suffer such losses indefinitely, especially in the case of limited victories,” the American think tank concluded.
Main photo source: mil.ru
