Reporters for the British daily newspaper The Daily Telegraph say Donald Trump has a slight advantage over Kamala Harris. However, they noted that in close races, predictions are largely based on gut feeling.
“Who will win this election? The most honest answer I can give is I don't know. But I'm in good company,” wrote Rosina Sabour of the paper's Washington bureau. He noted that the results of the national survey and battleground state surveys were within statistical error.
“But I can tell you that the mood in the Trump camp is happier than in the Harris camp (…). After Trump's early rise in the polls, Trump is winning in the final stages,” Saber said. he said. In her opinion, Pennsylvania could play the most important role among the undecided states.
American presidential election. Predictions and polls
Political historian Tim Stanley, like Saber, predicted a tie at the end of October, betting on a narrow victory for Trump in his latest prediction. Mr. Stanley said that polls show that support for Republican candidates is higher than in 2016 and 2020, which could mean that the polling center is drawing conclusions from past failures or that Mr. Trump is a stronger candidate than expected. He emphasized that this may mean that.
See: US presidential election. Kamala Harris leads
Daily Telegraph editor Ben Butcher, who analyzes the data, also predicted a slight advantage for Trump, noting that polls showing a 1-2 percentage point lead were actually vague. But he noted that in recent days, Donald Trump has led in five of seven battleground states, while Kamala Harris' campaign has “lost momentum.”
“But there were no surprises on election night with President Trump, and I don't think Tuesday will be any different,” Butcher added.
Poppy Coburn in the comments section and the editor of the American branch of the newspaper “Tony Diver'' also predicted a victory for Trump. Both men admitted that they were guided by a hunch. Mr. Diver said 2016 polls had Mr. Trump significantly underrepresented, and Mr. Trump's victory in the next election may only be announced after several recounts of votes and other delays. I warned you that there is.
Your browser does not support video players…
an/sgo/PAP
read more
Want to get the latest news?
We are preparing an application for your phone. Please check it out!
