Led by Alex Bregman (who homered in two straight games), the Houston Astros (62-55) are the favorites to win the championship when they face the Tampa Bay Rays (59-58) on Monday at 6:50 p.m. ET. Sportsbooks have the Astros as -128 favorites in the game, which will be broadcast on BSSUN.
Framber Valdez will start for Houston and Taj Bradley will start for Tampa Bay.
Astros vs Rays odds
Odds for Astros to win: -128 Odds for Rays to win: +110 Spread: Astros -1.5 Total: 7.5 Runs
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Game Times and Info
Date: Monday, August 12, 2024 Time: 6:50 PM ET TV: BSSUN
Who will win the Astros vs. Rays game?
Astros vs Rays betting trends
The Astros are 46-39 in games in which they have been money-line favorites (a 54.1% win rate in those games).
Houston has a 38-26 (59.4%) record when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -128 or less.
The Rays have been underdogs in 56 games this season and have won 27 of them (48.2%).
Tampa Bay has an 11-18 record and a 37.9% win rate when rated as a +110 or higher underdog by oddsmakers this season.
The Astros have played 117 games with a set over/under and, combined with their opponents, have played 47 games with a set over (47 wins, 66 losses, and 4 ties).
The Rays and their opponents have hit the over in 54 of a combined 117 games this season.
Astros Stats and Insights
The Astros average 4.6 points per game and rank 12th in points scored with 542 points.
Houston ranks 11th in MLB with 137 home runs, an average of 1.2 per game.
The Astros have the second-best batting average (.262) in the major leagues.
Houston is averaging 7.1 strikeouts per game, ranking third in the major leagues.
The Astros' pitchers are third in the major leagues with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings.
Houston's team ERA of 3.95 ranks 12th among MLB pitching staffs.
Rays Stats and Insights
The Rays have scored 460 points this season (just 3.9 points per game), which ranks 28th in MLB.
Tampa Bay has hit just 110 home runs this season, good for 26th in the major leagues.
The Rays' team batting average this season is .234, 25th among MLB teams.
Tampa Bay ranks 23rd among MLB offenses in strikeouts per game (9.1).
The Rays' pitchers have a K/9 of 8.7 this season, good for 10th best in the major leagues.
Tampa Bay ranks 16th in the major leagues in ERA (4.02) this season.
Key Astros players to watch
The Astros will field Valdez (11-5) in his 21st start of the season. Valdez has an 11-5 record with a 3.46 ERA and 113 strikeouts in 125 2/3 innings.
Yordan Alvarez is batting .307 with 25 home runs and 63 RBIs, three of the best stats among Houston hitters this season.
Bregman has 118 hits this season with a .319 on-base percentage and a .435 slugging percentage.
Jose Altuve has 142 hits this season, batting .303/.355/.443.
Yainer Diaz is batting .299 with 11 home runs and leads Houston in RBI with 63.
Rays players to watch
The Rays will entrust Bradley (6-6) with his 17th start of the season.
Yandy Diaz is batting .271, the best on the team.
Christopher Morrell showed his strength by leading the team with 20 home runs and 53 RBIs.
Brandon Lowe is batting .257 with 14 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 27 walks.
Jose Caballero is batting .240 with 17 doubles, one triple, eight home runs and 20 walks.
Astros and Rays injuries
Astros: Justin Verlander: IL 15 days (neck), Jose Urquidy: IL 60 days (forearm), Luis Garcia: IL 60 days (elbow), Oliver Ortega: IL 60 days (elbow), Cristian Javier: IL 60 days (forearm), Kyle Tucker: IL 60 days (shin), Lance McCullers Jr.: IL 60 days (elbow), Penn Murphy: IL 60 days (elbow), Kendall Graveman: IL 60 days (elbow), Bennett Souza: IL 60 days (shoulder).
Rays: Richard Palacios: 10-day IL (knee), Ryan Pepiot: 15-day IL (knee), Shane McClanahan: 60-day IL (forearm), Jacob Waguespack: 60-day IL (shoulder).
Astros vs Rays predictions
Score Prediction: Rays 5, Astros 4 Total Prediction: 7.5 or less
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