The Baltimore Orioles (74-55) will host the Houston Astros (69-58) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Game 2 of a four-game series on Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 PM ET (MLB Network). Break down the lines on Astros vs. Orioles odds from FanDuel Sportsbook, make expert MLB picks and predictions, and place your best bets.
Season series: Astros lead 4-0
The Astros won the series opener on Thursday, 6-0, and finished as +151 underdogs. They scored two runs in the fourth inning and four in the sixth to close out the game.
Houston is 4-2 in their last six games straight up and against the spread (ATS). They have a good record on the road, going 34-29 this season. Houston is 65-62 ATS.
The Orioles suffered their first shutout loss since July 11 on Thursday. Despite sitting in second place in the AL East, they struggled last week (2-5), going 37-29 at home and 71-58 ATS.
Astros vs. Orioles predicted starting lineup
RHP Hunter Brown vs. LHP Cade Povich
Brown (11-7, 3.82 ERA) is making his 25th start and has a 1.34 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 134 1/3 innings.
Last start: W, 7 innings, 1 run, 4 hits, 2 walks, 6 strikeouts, 6-1 home win over Chicago White Sox. 2024 away record on Saturday: 13 games played, 6-4, 4.23 ERA (66 innings, 31 ERA), 1.49 WHIP, 10.2 strikeouts in 9 innings. Career record with Orioles: 3 games played, 0-2, 8.76 ERA (12 1/3 innings, 12 ERA), 1.54 WHIP, 9.5 strikeouts in 9 innings.
Povich (1-6, 5.77 ERA) is making his 10th start and has a 1.58 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 43 2/3 innings.
Last start: 5-1 home loss to Boston Red Sox, 6 1/3 innings, 2 runs allowed, 6 hits, 0 walks, 6 strikeouts Saturday 2024 home record: 1-4 in 6 starts, 3.58 ERA (32 2/3 innings, 13 runs allowed), 1.41 WHIP, 7.4/9 strikeouts Never faced the Astros
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Astros vs Orioles odds
Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. For the complete list, visit the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.
Money Line (ML): Astros -118 (bet $118 to win $100) | Orioles +100 (bet $100 to win $100) Run Line (RL)/Against the Spread: Astros -1.5 (+130) | Orioles +1.5 (-156) Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -106 | U: -114)
Astros vs. Orioles predictions and forecasts
prediction
Astros 5, Orioles 3
Money Line
Bet on the Astros (-118).
The Astros are the much better team, winning Brown's last two games and five of his last seven. They've also dominated Baltimore this season, winning the four-game series 33-13. Houston has won nine straight games on the road.
Baltimore's Povich has lost four straight games and has struggled to find his footing in his first MLB season, with the Orioles just 4-7 in their past 11 games and losing three of their past four at home.
Considering the difference in pitching staffs and recent trends, the Astros (-118) will win.
Against run line/spread
Passed.
There's not a lot of value here. The Astros have finished within one run in two of their last four games and are too risky as a run-line favorite. Similarly, the Orioles are too expensive to be worth taking as a run-line favorite.
Over/Under
Bet on under 9 (-114).
The Orioles have been under in five of their last six games and are 2-7 O/U in their last nine games. They have scored four or fewer runs in six of those nine games. Baltimore is 1-2 O/U in Povich's last three starts.
The Astros are 0-2 O/U in their last 2 games and 3-7 O/U in their last 10. They have trended under all season with an O/U record of 50-73-4. Houston is 1-3 O/U in Brown's last 4 games.
I bet on UNDER 9 (-114).
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