With the Week 1 NFL schedule almost upon us, the new NFL season will kick off on Thursday, September 5 with the Chiefs hosting the Ravens. Kansas City lost their season opener to Detroit as a championship favorite last season and are listed as a three-point favorite in the Week 1 NFL odds. The Chiefs will be looking to avoid a disappointing performance following their Super Bowl win, while the Ravens will be looking to establish themselves as the top team in the AFC this year. Should you bet on either of these teams in your Week 1 NFL parlay picks?
All NFL spreads in Week 1 are under 10 points, with only Cincinnati (-9 vs. New England) favored by at least one touchdown. With some close games expected in Week 1, it's important to check out our NFL odds board for quality NFL betting advice for each game. Before making any Week 1 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to check out NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The model has simulated every NFL game 10,000 times and has returned over $7,000 in profits for every $100 spent on top-tier NFL picks since its inception. The model has an astounding 185-129 record on top-tier NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season and heading into Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season. The model has also gone 39-21 on top-tier NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model has ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch for straight-up NFL picks four of the last six years and beat over 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that time, placing it pretty high on anyone who follows it.
Now, the model has thoroughly researched Week 1 NFL odds and confidently identified the five best NFL bets. If you successfully match this model's selections, you can expect to pay out a massive 25 to 1 payout. You can see this model's Week 1 NFL picks exclusively at SportsLine.
NFL Week 1 Top Picks
After simulating each game 10,000 times, the model gave the Detroit Lions (-3.5) a high chance of beating the Los Angeles Rams at home. Detroit beat LA 24-23 in the wild-card game last season and then beat Tampa Bay in the NFC Championship before losing to San Francisco. The Lions were one of the league's most profitable teams at the end of last season, covering the spread in six of their final seven games.
The Rams are 8-1 in their last nine home games and will play in front of a passionate crowd in the 2024 season opener. Los Angeles has struggled in recent road trips to Detroit, losing four of their last five games. The Rams lost three-time Defensive Player of the Year Aaron Donald to retirement in the offseason, which is one of the reasons the model projects Detroit to cover the spread more than 50% of the time in its latest simulation. For more NFL parlay picks, see here.
How to make an NFL Week 1 parlay
The model also jumped on four other NFL matchups where the lines were said to be way off, including the home favorite covering the spread in nearly 70% of simulations. You can see the model's best NFL Week 1 bets and parlays exclusively at SportsLine.
What's the model's top NFL pick for Week 1, and what other NFL matchups should you target for a 25-to-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to find out the answers by seeing the model's best Week 1 NFL bets, which are 185-to-129 on our top-rated picks.
