The Atlanta Braves (72-60) and Minnesota Twins (72-60) complete a three-game series on Wednesday at Target Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:40 PM ET (MLB Network). Break down the lines on Braves vs. Twins odds from BetMGM Sportsbook and make your best bet with expert MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Braves lead 2-0
The Braves, who went from +107 underdogs to a 10-6 win in Monday's opener to -111 underdogs to an 8-6 win in 10 innings after the over (8.5) hit on Tuesday, first baseman Matt Olson grounded out on a fielder's choice in the 10th to provide the go-ahead run, part of Atlanta's four-run inning.
Twins relief pitcher Joan Duran gave up four runs (three earned) on four hits with one strikeout, striking out just one of five batters he faced before being replaced in the 10th inning. Minnesota has lost three straight and seven of its last nine games.
The Braves and Twins hold the final wild card spots in their respective divisions.
Braves vs. Twins predicted starting lineup
LHP Chris Sale vs. RHP David Festa
Sale (14-3, 2.62 ERA) will be making his 25th start and has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and an MLB-leading 11.6 K/9 in 147 2/3 innings.
Last start: 3-2 home win vs. Washington Nationals, no decision, 7 innings, 2 runs, 9 hits, 1 walk, 4 strikeoutsFriday's 2024 road stats: 6-3 in 13 starts, 2.49 ERA (79 2/3 innings, 22 ERA), 1.00 WHIP, 12.4 strikeouts per 9 inningsCareer record with Twins: 11-6 in 30 appearances (22 starts), 3.81 ERA (144 innings, 61 ERA), 1.08 WHIP, 11.7 strikeouts per 9 innings; 0-0 in 1 start last year, 1.50 ERA (6 innings, 1 ERA)
Festus (2-3, 5.20 ERA) will be making his eighth start and ninth appearance on the mound. The rookie has posted a 1.32 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 36 1/3 innings.
Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 5 K, 6-1 home loss to the St. Louis Cardinals Friday 2024 home record: 0-2, 6.61 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.59 WHIP, 11.6 K/9, 4 appearances (3 starts) Never against the Braves
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Braves vs Twins odds
Courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. For the complete list, visit the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub. Lines last updated at 9:06 a.m. ET.
Money Line (ML): Braves -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Twins +125 (bet $100 to win $125) Run Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+105) | Twins +1.5 (-130) Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Braves vs. Twins predictions and forecasts
prediction
Braves 4, Twins 3
Money Line
The Braves (-155) are obviously favored in this situation, but betting $155 on Atlanta to win $100 seems like an overreaction to the inconsistency of the pitching staff.
Pass. Instead, bet on the run line and/or total.
Against run line/spread
It's unlikely that Minnesota will lose three straight games at home by more than one point. Atlanta has won by more than one point in just one of Sale's past four starts, and Festus has allowed two runs or fewer in five of his past six starts.
I bet on the Twins +1.5 (-130).
Over/Under
It's hard to predict the over when Sale takes the mound for Atlanta. Sale has allowed two runs or fewer in 13 straight games, and Fiesta has been solid all season, posting a 3.18 ERA (17 innings, six runs allowed) in four starts in August.
Bet on less than 7.5 (-105).
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