There are fewer MLB games than usual today, with 11 to choose from, and you can keep track of the latest odds and betting percentages for all matchups with VSiN Betting Splits, provided directly by DraftKings and updated every 10 minutes.
In the meantime, let's take a look at where the smart money is leaning on today's three games.
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This is the final game of a four-game series. The Padres (76-59) swept the first two games, winning the opener 7-4 as the +105 road dog and the second 7-5 as the -145 road favorite. Then the Cardinals (66-67) won 4-3 yesterday and cashed in as the +105 home dog. In this afternoon's series finale, the Padres will start right-hander Michael King (11-7, 3.14 ERA) and the Cardinals will use right-hander Sonny Gray (11-9, 4.07 ERA). The line started with St. Louis as the -115 home favorite and San Diego as the -105 road dog. Sharp jumped on the Padres at the price of a coin toss, rocketing San Diego from -105 to -115. Basically, we see the Padres' “dog to favorite” line moving at a rapid clip. San Diego has won 76% of the money line bets and 85% of the money line dollars, which is a 10-cent steam move in their favor in addition to a smart split of “low bet, high dollar.” The Padres have value as non-division favorites, correlation betting value as favorites to win at a low total games (7.5), and less familiarity and fewer expected runs likely benefit them from a better team being projected to win. San Diego is batting .266 with 154 homers and 642 runs, while the Cardinals are batting .247 with 136 homers and 545 runs. King has a 2.45 ERA in four August starts. San Diego is 7-2 in his past nine starts. His ERA is 2.79 on the road and 3.56 at home. Gray has a 5.10 ERA in five August starts. St. Louis is 1-5 in its past six starts.
The Rockies (50-84) have won two of the first three games of this four-game series. Colorado won Game 1 3-2 as a -115 home favorite, and the Marlins (48-85) won Game 2 9-8 as a +125 road dog. The Rockies then won again yesterday 8-2 as a -140 home favorite. In this afternoon's series finale, the Marlins will start right-hander Valente Veloso (2-2, 3.35 ERA) while the Rockies will start right-hander Bradley Blalock (1-0, 3.06 ERA). The line started with Colorado listed as a -115 home favorite and Miami as a -105 road dog. Sharps raised Colorado from -115 to -125 with the Rockies expected to be short at home. The Rockies have won about 70% of the moneyline bets and wagers, showing a 10-cent upside, plus a lot of support from both the public and the wiseguys. Colorado has the better offense, batting .244 with 146 homers and 572 runs scored, compared to Miami's .240 with 123 homers and 496 runs scored. The Rockies are a worthy non-division favorite, and unfamiliarity favors the better team expected to win. Miami is 23-41 on the road, the third-worst road record in MLB.
The Athletics (58-75) have won the first two games of this three-game series, winning the opener 5-4 as a +115 road dog and winning again yesterday 9-6 as a +105 road dog. In tonight's series finale, the Athletics will hand the ball to right-hander JT Ginn (0-0, 2.45 ERA) while the Reds (63-70) will counter with right-hander Julian Aguiar (1-0, 3.60 ERA). The line started with Cincinnati as the -115 home favorite and Oakland as the -105 road dog. Wiseguy projects the Reds to avoid the sweep and steamroll Cincinnati from -115 to -135. The Reds receive 70% of moneyline bets and 75% of moneyline dollars, showing both pro and Joe support, plus a notable 20-cent steam movement toward the Reds. Cincinnati is worth buying low as an interleague favorite, where unfamiliarity favors better teams expected to win. The Reds are also worth buying low as a losing favorite against a winning opponent. Oakland is 25-40 on the road, the fourth-worst road record in MLB. The Reds' run differential is +25; the Athletics are -76. Cincinnati is batting .260 over their last 10 games, while Oakland is .231.
