Building a winning NFL Survivor strategy requires detailed knowledge of the entire NFL schedule, but it's impossible to win the NFL Survivor Pool Picks without going through Opening Week. There are no double-digit favorites in the Week 1 NFL odds and only one team is favored by more than one touchdown. Cincinnati is the Week 1 NFL Survivor Picks favorite as a 9.5-point favorite over New England, but that also means that if Joe Burrow and company stumble, they have an opportunity to eliminate a large portion of their competition by avoiding the Bengals. The Bills (-6 vs. Cardinals) and Seahawks (-5.5 vs. Broncos) are the next big favorites on the NFL odds board.
Since you can only pick a team once, should you go with the Seahawks in your Week 1 NFL Eliminator Pool Picks? Before you lock in your Week 1 NFL Survivor picks, see which teams the featured SportsLine projection model is all-in on.
The model has simulated every NFL game 10,000 times and has returned over $7,000 in profits on $100 players on top-tier NFL picks since inception. The model has an astounding 181-129 record on top-tier NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season and heading into Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season. It has also gone 35-21 on top-tier NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model has ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch for straight-up NFL picks four of the last six years and beat over 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that time period, placing it pretty high on anyone who follows the model.
Now, the model has looked at the latest Week 1 NFL odds and locked in its predictions for the survival pool in Week 1. Find out who the model is backing this week exclusively at SportsLine.
NFL Week 1 Survivor Pool Predictions
The model avoids the Miami Dolphins in Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season, even though they are favored over the Jaguars, who finished 11-6 this season and missed the playoffs at 9-8. The Dolphins led the NFL in total yards per game (401.3) last season and have all of their key players back this year. However, Miami has several key injuries heading into the season that make them a risky option for a Week 1 survival team.
Wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. has not practiced since signing with the Dolphins, while safety Jevon Holland and cornerback Jalen Ramsey have each missed practice due to injuries. Jacksonville is a dangerous team to start the 2023 season, going 8-3 in its first 11 games. The Jaguars have an improved offense with the addition of wide receivers Gabe Davis and Brian Thomas Jr. and are capable of beating Miami in the season opener. Find out which team to pick here.
How to choose the NFL Week 1 Survivor pool
Instead, the model is favoring the surprise home team to win in nearly 80% of simulations, and the time to pick this team is now: You can see this play exclusively at SportsLine.
Which surprise teams are must-bet-placed in the Week 1 Survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to find out which teams will be victorious in Week 1. It's all powered by an advanced computer model that's consistently dominating the NFL and has made well over $7,000,000 in profits since its inception.
