One of the main topics of discussion at the Davos Economic Forum will be a report on global risks. These include armed conflicts, extreme weather events, geopolitical conflicts (such as trade wars), disinformation, and polarization. More than 900 experts from around the world have concluded that we live in highly uncertain times.
– According to our survey, 36% of respondents believe we are facing turbulent or very turbulent times. These are the most negative categories. This is a two-year outlook, and a 10-year outlook increases this number to 62%. This means almost two-thirds of respondents expect turbulent or highly turbulent times, global risk expert Mark Elsner said in an interview with Polsat News.
‘Risk number one.’ Experts warn of armed conflict
Reporter Piotr Witkowski asked his interlocutors how Donald Trump’s inauguration as US president had affected world affairs. – Changes in power bring new levels of uncertainty. Reports show that this level is already very high. It remains to be seen what the new government’s policies will bring, Elsner said.
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– We look at the various areas targeted by the new administration’s policies, such as geo-economic conflicts, i.e. trade wars and tariff wars. The question, experts wondered, is whether we are entering an era of further protectionism.
In his opinion, the risk of armed conflict is currently at a “much higher level” than in previous years. Elsner emphasized that 32% think so. Respondents said armed conflict was their “biggest risk.” – Two years ago, armed conflict wasn’t even among the top 10 risks we reported on, Elsner pointed out.
Video: Interview with global risk expert Mark Elsner at the Economic Forum in Davos
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Not only disinformation and polarization, but also abnormal weather phenomena. “We have reason to worry
– In the long term, risks that respondents have cited for years are environmental issues such as extreme weather and pollution. The number of such extreme events is a cause for concern. I think we’re connecting the dots. Although this is not the only aspect of climate change, they are directly connected, experts said.
Elsner mentioned disinformation and assessed that it is related to polarization. – Our report shows that these two issues are closely related. Spending more time online creates a bigger problem with disinformation, which is related to the development of artificial intelligence, which spreads faster and more widely, Elsner stressed.
– We hope our report will spur government action. This is a call for dialogue from many countries. Experts stressed that many of these risks are international and know no borders.
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