This article is part of the Tennis Picks series.
The Canadian Open schedule Sunday includes the women's semifinals in Toronto and the men's quarterfinals and semifinals in Montreal. The men's team had to play catch-up Saturday after several days of rain, with many players playing multiple matches on a single day to get back to a mostly scheduled tournament. Three of the four remaining women are American, and the U.S. men are looking for a major upset.
All tennis odds and lines come from DraftKings Sportsbook, but you may find better odds on some of these matches by checking mobile sportsbooks like FanDuel Sportsbook, BetMGM, Caesars Sportsbook, or other top sports betting sites. In states where sports betting has launched, some of these sportsbooks offer exclusive sign-up bonuses.
All men's and women's singles matches at the Canadian Open are best of three sets. By combining players' past hard-court performances, recent form and style of play, we can pinpoint interesting betting opportunities, both in favourites who look to win comfortably and underdogs who are poised to pull off an upset. Said underdogs are highlighted in the Upset Alert section, while the Lock It In section features players who can be considered overwhelming favourites and the Value Bets section recommends attractive options in matchups that we believe are closer to even.
Canadian Open Tennis Predictions: Watch out for upsets
Diana Schneider (+160) vs. Jessica Pegula
Considering Schneider's recent play, it would be more surprising if she doesn't beat world number 6 Pegula in this semifinal than if she does. Pegula is a defending champion, but has a relatively mediocre 23-9 record in 2024 and has benefited from an easier path to the semifinals, defeating three players ranked 45th or lower after receiving a first-round bye. Not only is Schneider ranked 24th, a step above her in terms of rankings, but the 20-year-old Russian has also played in the top 10 recently. Schneider is 17-2 in her last five tournaments and is looking to win her third title in that span. She is coming off consecutive wins against top 15 players, including wins over top seed Coco Gauff 6-4, 6-1 and Ludmila Samsonova 4-6, 6-1, 6-4.
Sebastian Korda (+225) vs. Alexander Zverev
Korda has always had a knack for roughing up the best players. He has two wins against Daniil Medvedev and three losses in three sets. He is 0-3 against Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal, but Korda was just a few points away from winning two of those matches. The 24-year-old American is playing better tennis going into his first career match against Zverev than he has in any of his previous matches against big-name opponents. Korda won the 500-level hard court title in Washington last week and reached the quarterfinals. After a stunning 6-4, 7-6 (4) win over fellow ninth-seeded compatriot Taylor Fritz yesterday, Korda was given a bye in the round of 16 by Casper Ruud, which means he won't have to play two matches in one day and will have his usual rest before this showdown between two of the fastest players in tennis who are over 6'5″.
Canadian Open Tennis Odds: Confirmed
Andrey Rublev (-300) vs. Matteo Arnaldi
Players tend to get a big boost in belief and confidence after beating the true elite of the tennis world. Rublev, the Italian world number one, should benefit from this, even though he lost just his second time on a hard court in 2024, beating Jannik Sinner 6-3, 1-6, 6-2 in the quarterfinals. The Russian, ranked 8th in the world, has a much higher average level of play than Arnaldi to begin with, with Rublev 31-15 with two titles in 2024, while Arnaldi is 24-18 and titleless this year. Both players had to play two matches yesterday, but Arnaldi's stamina will be more tested, as the Italian, ranked 46th in the world, played 48 games in the two matches, compared to 40 for Rublev. Arnaldi upset Rublev on clay at the French Open this year, but Rublev won their only meeting on a hard court last year in straight sets.
Canadian Open Tennis Predictions: Value Bets
Hubert Hurkacz (-150) vs. Alexei Popyrin
Popyrin has been upset-winning consecutive matches against top 15 players, but the odds between the two big servers are surprisingly even, with Hurkacz being the much more valuable. Hurkacz has had to win two close matches to get here, but the world number eight is back in form in his first tournament since returning from a knee injury he sustained at Wimbledon and should only get better. Break points are few and far between, and the world number six Pole should be able to handle late-set situations far more effectively than the world number six Australian, considering Hurkacz has a 26-19 tiebreak record in 2024 compared to Popyrin's 7-10. Hurkacz also leads the head-to-head series 3-0, with all three meetings coming at Masters 1000 events on hard courts, with Hurkacz winning in straight sets.
Amanda Anisimova (+110) vs. Emma Navarro
It's no surprise to see world No. 15 Navarro, who has an impressive 43-15 record in 2024, facing off in this all-American semifinal, but it's worth noting that this is the 23-year-old's first semifinal at a WTA 1000 or Grand Slam tournament, and the pressure will be on Navarro to face world No. 132 Anisimova. It's hard to believe, as Anisimova has already seemingly been through so many trials and tribulations throughout her career, but she is actually the younger of the two, not turning 23 until the end of this month. Anisimova has endured a number of setbacks in her personal and professional life, but she finally seems to be in good shape both mentally and playing well. Her clean hitting this week is reminiscent of the tennis she played in 2019, when she reached the French Open semifinals at 17 years old. Anisimova did not drop a set en route to the semifinals, defeating three consecutive top 10 seeds in Daria Kasatkina, Anna Kalinskaya and Aryna Sabalenka. Anisimova's superior power and timing from the ground will put her in command here, and if she plays at the same level she has shown so far in the tournament, Navarro will have no answers.
