The Arizona Diamondbacks (74-56) and Boston Red Sox (67-61) will conclude a three-game series at Fenway Park on Sunday, with kickoff scheduled for 1:35 PM ET (MLB Network). Break down Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox odds from BetMGM Sportsbook and make your best betting predictions and forecasts from MLB experts.
Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-0
Arizona has won the first two games of this series (12-2 and 4-1) and five straight overall. The Diamondbacks are 11-3 since Aug. 9.
Boston's offense managed just three runs on 11 hits in the series. The Red Sox were just 1-for-11 with runners in scoring position.
Diamondbacks vs Red Sox predicted starting lineup
RHP Merrill Kelly vs. RHP Tanner Hack
Kelly (3-0, 3.63 ERA) will be making his seventh start and has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 34 2/3 innings.
Last time pitched: No win/loss against the Tampa Bay Rays last Sunday, 8-7 loss in 5 innings, allowing 6 runs on 8 hits, 2 walks and 4 strikeouts. Career record against the Red Sox: 1-1 in 2 starts, 1.26 ERA (14 1/3 innings, 2 runs), allowing 8 hits, 2 walks and 19 strikeouts.
Hauck (8-8, 3.01 ERA) is scheduled to make his 26th start and has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 152 2/3 innings.
Last appearance: No win/loss against the Houston Astros on Monday, 5-4, pitching 6 innings, allowing 2 runs, 8 hits, no walks and 8 strikeouts. Career record with Diamondbacks: 0-1, 9.00 ERA (4 innings, 4 runs), 6 hits, no walks and 4 strikeouts in one start. Tie season-high with 16 strikeouts in last appearance.
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Diamondbacks vs Red Sox odds
Courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. For the complete list, visit the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub. Lines last updated at 7:53 a.m. ET.
Money Line: Diamondbacks +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100) Run Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190) | Red Sox -1.5 (+155) Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Diamondbacks vs Red Sox predictions and forecasts
prediction
Red Sox 7, Diamondbacks 4
Money Line
Kelly will be making his third start following an extended IL (shoulder) stay, and both he and Hack are candidates for removal given their surface ERAs are in line with expectations.
The Diamondbacks are on a winning streak, but their season looks underwhelming, while Boston is the opposite, and the Red Sox have been marred by some key hitting blunders in recent days.
Boston (-135) is a slight favorite heading into the final game of this series, and with the over currently priced in favor, the Crimson Horses are even better off on the run line.
Against run line/spread
Both lineups feature a lot of left-handed hitters, which is likely to favor Kelly over Hawk, as Arizona pitchers have a history of drawing more walks against swing-hitting pitchers from the other side of the ball.
Sunday's game will likely be a loose one, with warm weather giving both teams' bullpens some much-needed rest. The Red Sox are coming off a solid return.
Back Boston -1.5 (+155).
Over/Under
Arizona's lineup is on fire, Boston's lineup is on fire rather than resting, and both starting pitchers are sagging.
Bet the over at 9.5 (-115) and consider making this a fractional unit play unless the price becomes more favorable.
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