Your Week 1 NFL Survivor strategy could pay off with a bet on the right team. Given their recent lackluster performances in opening rounds, Atlanta may be the team to target in your Week 1 NFL Knockout Pool Picks. The Falcons have lost five of their last six Week 1 games, with their only win coming against the Panthers, who finished with the worst record in the league last year. The Falcons will host the Steelers in Week 1, with both teams rolling in new quarterbacks. Pittsburgh has won three of their last four Week 1 games, which is just extra ammunition to target the Falcons in your Week 1 NFL Survivor Pool Picks. Atlanta is one team to target, but is it the best team to target in opening week? Before you lock in your Week 1 NFL Survivor picks, see which teams the featured SportsLine Projection Model is all-in on.
The model has simulated every NFL game 10,000 times and has returned over $7,000 in profits on $100 players on top-tier NFL picks since inception. The model has an astounding 181-129 record on top-tier NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season and heading into Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season. It has also gone 35-21 on top-tier NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model has ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch for straight-up NFL picks four of the last six years and beat over 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that time period, placing it pretty high on anyone who follows it.
Now, the model has looked at the latest Week 1 NFL odds and locked in its predictions for the survival pool in Week 1. Find out who the model is backing this week exclusively at SportsLine.
NFL Week 1 Survivor Pool Predictions
In Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season, they avoid the Miami Dolphins, who are coming off an 11-6 season and have a better chance than the Jaguars, who missed the playoffs with a 9-8 record. The Jaguars went 6-3 on the road against Jacksonville last year, including a road win at Indianapolis in Week 1. Despite missing the playoffs, Jacksonville still has a winning record (9-8) and showed strengths in key areas: a hobbled Trevor Lawrence still led the team to a top-10 passing attack, Travie Etienne recorded nearly 1,500 scrimmage yards, and only seven teams forced more turnovers than the Jacksonville defense.
That last statistic might be the most troubling for Miami. Miami's offense fizzled out late. After averaging 31.5 points through their first 14 games, that number dropped in half to 15.5 points in the Dolphins' final four games, three of which were losses. Tua Tagovailoa also contributed to the decline, as his 19 turnovers last season were the fifth-most in the NFL. Considering Lawrence is 2-0 all-time against Tagovailoa in both college and the NFL, Miami should stick with the NFL survival picks for another week. Find out which team to pick here.
How to choose the NFL Week 1 Survivor pool
Instead, the model is favoring the surprise home team to win in nearly 80% of simulations, and the time to pick this team is now: You can see this play exclusively at SportsLine.
Which surprise teams are you sure to bet on in the Week 1 Survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to find out which teams will be victorious in Week 1. It's all powered by an advanced computer model that's consistently dominating the NFL and has made well over $7,000,000 in profits since its inception.
