There are four matches scheduled in the WNBA this Sunday, so our betting experts have pinned four of the best bets on today's matchups – one for each game. We've also pinned three over/under predictions for Sun vs Dream, Storm vs Fever, and Sky vs Mercury. Additionally, we've also pinned player prop picks for Sparks vs Aces.
Read on for the best WNBA bets for Sunday, August 18th.
Best WNBA bets for Sunday, August 18
Michael Arinze's best bets on Sun vs Dream
Michael Arinze
Connecticut scored a season-high 109 points against Dallas in their last game, and it's easy to imagine that was due to the addition of Marina Mabry in the trade. Mabry gives Connecticut something they sorely need: perimeter shooting.
The Suns rank 10th in 3-point field goals made per game with 5.5, but made 11 against the Wings, including three by Mabry, who finished with 17 points on 7-of-12 shooting. Perhaps more importantly, the Suns played with tempo and had 85 possessions in the game.
Connecticut plays at the slowest pace in the league, averaging just 77.3 possessions per game and even lower in their two previous meetings with Dallas this season. With a 19-6 record, second in the league, Connecticut is the obvious favorite to win the championship, but with Mabry's addition, we may see the Suns become even more effective offensively in the future.
As a result, I think it's reasonable to expect Sun's scores to rise going forward.
Connecticut finishes the road trip on Sunday afternoon against the Dream in Atlanta. The total started at 155.5 and is currently between 154.5 and 156 in the market. The average total in Connecticut's games this season is 157.5.
So even though they're a new face team offering their first glimpse of a different philosophy on offense, you're essentially getting a discount on the Over at their current price point.
Pick: 154.5+ (-110)
Michael Fiddle's Storm vs Fever best bets
Michael Fiddle
I currently bet the over on the Indiana Fever whenever I can get hold of the opening line, as the market has not been opening the over/under high enough lately compared to the pace of play.
This combines trend betting with line movement handicapping, as you are noticing a trend in the line movement and re-betting based on that.
The Seattle Storm have a strong offense, so I’m happy to pick the over here.
Pick: 169.5 or higher (-110)
Joe Derella's Sparks vs Aces Best Bets
Joe Derella
The Aces and Sparks play the second game of a back-to-back on Sunday, and one player I'm targeting is Kelsey Plum.
Plum is doing well this season, averaging 18.2 points per game and hitting the 16.5 mark in 64% of his games. He's even better at home, averaging 19.4 points and hitting 71% of his points. After only scoring 13 points yesterday against the Liberty, I'm looking at this mark as an opportunity to buy low.
From a matchup standpoint, Plum dominated this line against the Sparks. She scored 21, 24 and 17 points in her three matches against them this season. The Sparks are playing at about the league average pace, but they have the third-worst defense in the WNBA with a defensive rating of 106.3.
Grab a plum to get over 16.5 points.
Pick: Kelsey Plumb over 16.5 points (-128)
Michael Fiddle's best Sky vs Mercury bets
Michael Fiddle
This will be the second of three games between the Sky and Mercury and also the second of a consecutive away game for the Chicago Sky.
After a late fourth-quarter comeback win over the Los Angeles Sparks, the Sky now travel to Phoenix to take on a vastly improved team they beat by 20 points last week.
Typically when teams play each other on a short schedule, there will be less scoring in the second game because players’ tendencies are known (think as a playoff series progresses).
Here, the opening line is 167 and that number has already started to drop, with the last game finishing at 140. I expect this one to finish around 165 or below.
Pick: 167 or less (-110)
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