Becky Morton
Political journalist
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The construction of houses is expected to reach a 40 -year summit, the planning system reforms which should increase the economy by 6.8 billion pounds Sterling, according to the wasting dog.
The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) said that changes, including the compulsory housing objectives for advice, and the ease of construction on green belt land could cause 1.3 million new houses across the United Kingdom by the end of the decade.
The government has said that new planned reforms and investment in affordable housing would help achieve its goal of 1.5 million new houses in England over the next five years.
But the OBR warned that its estimates were uncertain because factors such as the number of construction workers could hinder progress.
Industry leaders have said that tens of thousands of new recruits will be necessary to deliver the government’s objective, the sector being faced with a shortage of skills and aging labor.
Earlier this week, the government announced 600 million pounds of funding to train up to 60,000 more qualified construction workers.
The OBR said the local opposition could also delay or prevent new houses.
Critics have argued that reforms could ignore local concerns, while some advice have warned higher housing objectives will be almost impossible to achieve, pointing strains on local infrastructure and land shortages.
The federation of house manufacturers said that planning changes were “a very positive step”, but OBR figures have shown more “urgent” measures to help buyers at home to achieve the government’s goal.
The chief executive officer, Neil Jefferson, said that the cost of building new houses has also “exploded” in recent years, with new taxes and regulatory costs by further eliminating investment.
The government has increased the number of new houses a key priority, promising to support “manufacturers and non -blockers”.
There had been a question mark on the question of whether the OBR takes into account government planning reforms in its economic growth forecasts.
However, in her spring declaration, Chancellor Rachel Reeves confirmed that the guard dog had envisaged and noted changes to the national planning policy framework published in December.
The OBR said that reforms could increase the construction of houses by 170,000 over the next five years, which has led to 1.3 million new houses across the United Kingdom by 2029/30, an increase of 16%.
He added that the number of new houses per year is expected to reach a 405,000 -year -old summit.
The guard dog estimated that the boost for the construction of houses due to the reforms would increase the size of the British economy by 0.2% by 2029/30, worth around 6.8 billion pounds sterling today.
The government said it was the greatest positive effect on the growth of a “zero cost policy” that the OBR has ever planned.
The increase in economic growth is motivated by factors, including higher productivity in the construction sector, more people pay rent and facilitate work for people.
The OBR said that the increase in supply would lead to a low reduction in average accommodation prices of approximately 0.9% by 2029/30.
Experts said that if the boost of planning reforms was welcome, it was necessary to focus on the first buyers who have trouble getting on the housing scale.
Felicity Barnett, from the mortgage council office, said that many potential owners were “trapped by strict affordable criteria” and needed more accessible options.
Aynsley Lammin, analyst at Investc, said that a good economic backdrop, favorable interest rates and policies to help the first buyers were necessary to increase demand.
He added that the government should also invest in affordable houses.
As part of the new government planning framework, the land developed before – called “Brownfield” sites – will be priority for new houses.
But the ministers have recognized that this will not be enough to achieve the government’s objective.
The advice will also be condemned to examine the limits of the green belt – which have been created to prevent urban sprawl – by identifying “gray belt” land on which can be built.
The building will be authorized on better quality green belt land if the developers provide the necessary infrastructure and guarantee affordable housing, as well as access to green spaces.
Additional Mitchell Labiak reports