With 13 MLB games scheduled for Sunday, August 11th, you can trust that we have some of the best MLB bets for you.
The Action Network staff has three of the best MLB bets for Sunday, including predictions and projections for Mets vs. Mariners in Sunday night baseball.
MLB Best Bets & Sunday Picks & Predictions (8/11)
The team logos in the table below represent each matchup that our MLB betting staff is targeting from Sunday's schedule: Click on the team logo for any matchup below to be taken to the specific MLB Best Bets featured in this article.
Alex Kolodziej's Best Bets for Guardians vs. Twins: Fade the Public
Alex Kolodziej
The Twins-Guardians game had two PRO systems flagged, both of which were under-total matchups.
There may have been some historic disrespect when it came to pitcher tendencies, particularly the strikeout numbers of both Tanner Bibby and David Festa.
Also, the early bankroll (80%) is leaning towards the over.In one of our other PRO systems derived from our contrarian series, current betting data from the tracker suggests that holding back on public betting would be a wise choice.
Unlock your PRO system on Sunday and check out the 61% MLB Trends Active for Mets vs. Mariners.
Pick: Under 8 (-105 | Play to -110)
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Greg Liodice's Best Bets on Tigers vs Giants: Fade Montero Big
Greg Liodice
San Francisco will be looking to continue their winning streak at home after winning their first two games against the Detroit Tigers.
The Giants will have Hayden Birdsong pitching, while the Tigers will have Cader Montero pitching after a disappointing season. The right-hander had plenty of growing pains in his rookie season, posting a 5.62 ERA with a 5.18 xERA and ranking in the 31st and 33rd percentiles for whiff and strikeout rates, respectively.
This is Birdsong's rookie year, and he's had a good one. The Giants' No. 4 prospect has pitched in seven games and is 3-1 with a 4.73 ERA and 4.29 xERA. The only reason his ERA is anywhere near 5 is because of a poor showing on Tuesday night against Washington, when he gave up seven runs in two innings.
But Birdsong is efficient, striking out a combined 20 in his two starts so far. Detroit's lineup is downright awful, so this is a great time for Birdsong to get back on track. The Tigers have no hitting threats whatsoever, and their best hitter, Riley Green, is still recovering from injury.
The Giants are the overwhelming favorites in the projections, so I'll bet the spread. San Francisco isn't a lethal team, but they have the hitters to inflict painful blows on poor pitchers.
FanDuel has the Giants -1.5 at +122, and I like these odds. Detroit has managed to hang on in their last two games (even collapsing after holding a no-hitter until the sixth inning), but I don't trust Montero. I think San Francisco will pull out the win.
Pick: Giants -1.5 (+122)
Andrew O'Connor Watts' best bets for Tigers vs Giants: Bet on the under
Andrew O'Connor Watts
The Giants' offense is below average and has had a terrible record against right-hander Cader Montero, who has had a strong season. Montero has a lackluster xERA of 5.18, according to FanGraphs, but his xFIP of 4.12 makes me think it's worth betting the under against San Francisco's offense.
Meanwhile, Hayden Birdsong has mostly lived up to expectations. Though he struggled in his last outing, giving up seven runs in just two innings, Birdsong showed signs of promise. In his last two starts, he gave up a combined two runs, walked five and struck out 20. While he's not been very consistent, Birdsong is a good fit for a Tigers offense that has a wRC+ of just 91.14 against right-handed pitchers this season.
I like to go down to 7.5 on any juice and then bet up to 7 with less exposure.
Pick: Under 8 (-110)
Tony Sartori's best Mets vs. Mariners bets: Are the Mets an unfair “underdog”?
Tony Sartori
I am very surprised to see the Mets at +110 in this situation. Let’s start with the batting, which is a clear favoritism for New York.
This season, Seattle ranks high in runs per game, hits per game, batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, OPS and home runs. The differences in these statistics are also very large.
All that's left is the starting pitching combination, which again could be argued to be favorable for the Mets. Luis Severino has a better xBA, average exit velocity, barrel rate, and hard hit rate than Luis Castillo.
That leaves the bullpen, which New York's relief corps has a better xFIP than the Mariners, so that's another advantage for New York. The only advantage I personally give Seattle in this matchup is home field, but I don't think it's enough to justify giving the Mets +110 in this situation.
Pick: Mets ML (+110)
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