Sunday's game between the San Diego Padres (66-52) and the Miami Marlins (43-75) at LawnDepot Park is expected to be a close one with a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Padres, according to our computer projections. The game kicks off at 1:40 PM ET on August 11th.
The Padres will use Dylan Cease (11-8, 3.40 ERA), who is looking for his 12th win of the season, while the Marlins will use Max Meyer (2-2, 5.10 ERA).
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Padres vs Marlins game information and odds
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Padres vs Marlins score prediction
The predictions for this game are Padres 5, Marlins 4.
Padres vs Marlins overall prediction
Total predictions: 8+
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How to watch the Marlins vs. Padres
Padres Performance Insights
The Padres have been favorites in nine of their last 10 games, winning eight of them. In their last 10 games with total runs scored, the over against San Diego is 6-3-1. The Padres have been favorites in 63 games this season, winning 36 of them (57.1%). San Diego has a 5-4 record this season, winning 55.6% of the time when bookmakers have them as -200 or better favorites. Based on the moneyline implied probability, the Padres have a 66.7% chance of winning this game. San Diego has allowed 563 runs this season, which is 8th in MLB. The Padres' team ERA of 4.00 is 15th among all pitchers in the league.
Marlins Performance Insights
The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their last 10 games and are 3-7 in those games. In the last 10 games with an over/under, Miami and their opponents have exceeded that total a combined five times. The Marlins have won 38 of 98 games this year in which they have been odds-on underdogs, or 38.8% of the time. Miami is 9-16 in games where bookmakers have favored them at +165 or lower on the money line. The Marlins have an implied probability of winning 37.7% based on the money line odds that oddsmakers have set for this matchup. Miami is the second-lowest-running team in baseball, averaging 3.7 runs per game (433 total runs allowed). The Marlins' ERA this season is 4.58, which ranks 27th in baseball.
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Padres Schedule
Date Opponent Score Pitcher Brackets Aug. 6 @ Pirates W 6-0 Dylan Cease vs Bailey Falter Aug. 7 @ Pirates W 9-8 Michael King vs Marco Gonzales Aug. 8 @ Pirates W 7-6 Randy Vasquez vs Luis Ortiz Aug. 9 @ Marlins W 6-2 Martin Perez vs Edward Cabrera Aug. 10 @ Marlins W 9-8 Matt Waldron vs Rodry Munoz Aug. 11 @ Marlins – Dylan Cease vs Max Meyer Aug. 12 Pirates – Michael King vs Marco Gonzales Aug. 13 Pirates – Michael King vs Luis Ortiz Aug. 14 Pirates – Martin Perez vs Mitch Keller August 16th @ Rockies – Matt Waldron vs TBA August 17th @ Rockies – TBA vs TBA
Marlins Schedule
Date Opponent Score Pitcher Bracketing Aug. 6 Reds Lost 8-2 Max Meyer vs Nick Lodolo Aug. 7 Reds Won 6-4 Valente Veloso vs Andrew Abbott Aug. 8 Reds Lost 10-4 Kyle Tyler vs Hunter Greene Aug. 9 Padres Lost 6-2 Edward Cabrera vs Martin Perez Aug. 10 Padres Lost 9-8 Rodry Munoz vs Matt Waldron Aug. 11 Padres – Max Meyer vs Dylan Cease Aug. 13 @ Phillies – Valente Veloso vs Tyler Phillips Aug. 14 @ Phillies – Kyle Tyler vs TBD Aug. 16 @ Mets – Edward Cabrera vs Sean Manaea August 17th @ Mets – TBD vs TBD August 18th @ Mets – TBD vs TBD
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. To contact dataskrive, please contact [email protected]
