Monday's game between the San Diego Padres (66-53) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (56-61) at Petco Park is set to be a highly competitive matchup with the Padres projected to win by a 5-4 final score according to computer projections. The game is set to kick off at 9:40 PM ET on August 12th.
The Padres will field Joe Musgrove (3-4) against the Pirates and Marco Gonzales (1-1).
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Padres vs Pirates game information and odds
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Padres vs Pirates score prediction
The predictions for this game are Padres 5, Pirates 4.
Padres vs Pirates overall prediction
Total predictions: 8+
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How to watch the Padres vs. Pirates game
Padres Performance Insights
The Padres have been favored in 10 of their last 10 games, winning eight of them. In the last 10 games where a total run was recorded, San Diego and their opponents have not been over four times. This season, the Padres have been favored 64 times, winning 36 of those games, or 56.2% of the games. When sportsbooks favor San Diego at least -200 on the money line, San Diego has a 5-5 record. The bookmaker suggests that the Padres have a 66.7% chance of winning based on the money line setting for this matchup. San Diego is one of the highest-scoring teams in the major leagues, ranking 8th with 569 total runs allowed this season. The Padres' team ERA is 15th among MLB pitchers (4.00).
Pirates Performance Insights
Entering seven of their last 10 games as underdogs, the Pirates have upset every game. Overall, Pittsburgh and its rivals have won 7, lost 3, and drawn 0 in their last 10 games. The Pirates have won 31 of 66 games this year when listed as odds-on underdogs, or 47%. Pittsburgh has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog at +165 or less on the moneyline. According to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup, the Pirates have an implied probability of winning of 37.7%. Pittsburgh is the 21st-highest-running team in baseball, averaging 4.2 runs per game (493 total runs allowed). The Pirates' pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.97 this year, which ranks 13th in MLB.
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Padres Schedule
Date Opponent Score Pitcher Bracket 7 Aug @ Pirates W 9-8 Michael King vs Marco Gonzales 8 Aug @ Pirates W 7-6 Randy Vasquez vs Luis Ortiz 9 Aug @ Marlins W 6-2 Martin Perez vs Edward Cabrera 10 Aug @ Marlins W 9-8 Matt Waldron vs Rodry Munoz 11 Aug @ Marlins L 7-6 Dylan Cease vs Max Meyer 12 Aug @ Pirates – Joe Musgrove vs Marco Gonzales 13 Aug @ Pirates – Michael King vs Luis Ortiz 14 Aug @ Pirates – Martin Perez vs Mitch Keller 16 Aug @ Rockies – Matt Waldron vs TBA Aug. 17 @ Rockies – Dylan Cease vs Kyle Freeland Aug. 18 @ Rockies – TBA vs TBA
Pirates Schedule
Date Opponent Score Pitcher Matchup August 7 Padres L 9-8 Marco Gonzales vs Michael King August 8 Padres L 7-6 Luis Ortiz vs Randy Vasquez August 9 @ Dodgers L 9-5 Mitch Keller vs Jack Flaherty August 10 @ Dodgers L 4-1 Paul Skeens vs River Ryan August 11 @ Dodgers L 6-5 Bailey Falter vs Tyler Glasnow August 12 @ Padres – Marco Gonzales vs Joe Musgrove August 13 @ Padres – Luis Ortiz vs Michael King August 14 @ Padres – Mitch Keller vs Martin Perez August 16 Mariners – Paul Skeens vs Logan Gilbert August 17 Mariners – Bailey Falter vs Luis Castillo August 18 Mariners – TBA vs TBA
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dataskrive is a Tribune-Review freelancer. To contact dataskrive, please contact [email protected]