The Pittsburgh Pirates (56-62) and San Diego Padres (67-53) meet for the second of a three-game series on Tuesday at Petco Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm ET (MLB Network). Break down Pirates vs. Padres odds from BetMGM Sportsbook and make your best betting predictions and forecasts from MLB experts.
Season series: Padres lead 4-0
The Padres won Monday's opener 2-1 as -201 favorites with the under (8.5) easily hitting the ball. Second baseman Xander Bogaerts scored one run on a single in the seventh inning, and center fielder Jackson Merrill saved the game with a diving catch of a liner by Pirates' LF Bryan Reynolds in the ninth.
The Pirates lost as a +183 underdog, suffering their 10th loss in 11 games. Starter Jake Woodford was the losing pitcher, allowing only one run on three hits with two strikeouts, but he allowed a leadoff double to Padres left fielder Jurickson Profar in the seventh inning, which ultimately allowed Profar to score.
Pirates vs Padres predicted starting lineup
RHP Luis L. Ortiz vs. RHP Michael King
Ortiz (5-2, 3.40 ERA) will be making his eighth start and 30th appearance. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 90 innings.
Last start: W/O, 6 innings, 4 runs allowed, 4 hits, 1 walk, 3 strikeouts, 7-6 home loss vs. Padres Thursday's 2024 road stats: 14 games (3 starts) with a 3-1 record, 2.70 ERA (40 innings, 12 ERA), 1.18 WHIP, 8.1 strikeouts in 9 innings Career record vs. Padres: 0-0 in 2 starts with a 6.75 ERA (10 2/3 innings, 8 ERA), 1.31 WHIP, 2.5 strikeouts in 9 innings
King (9-6, 3.34 ERA) will be making his 23rd start and 24th appearance. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 129 1/3 innings.
Last start: W/O vs. Pirates on Wednesday, 5 innings, 3 runs (4 earned), 6 hits, 2 walks, 7 strikeouts, 10 innings in a 9-8 win (his only appearance against Pittsburgh) 2024 home record: 1-4 in 9 starts, 4.25 ERA (48 2/3 innings, 23 runs), 1.30 WHIP, 13.1 strikeouts in 9 innings
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Pirates vs Padres odds
Courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. For the complete list, visit the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub. Lines last updated at 10:58 a.m. ET.
Money Line (ML): Pirates +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Padres -225 (bet $225 to win $100) Run Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-115) | Padres -1.5 (-105) Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)
Pirates vs Padres predictions and forecasts
prediction
Padres 5, Pirates 4
Money Line
The Padres (-225) are 17-3 since July 20 and 4-0 against the Pirates this season, but betting the line on such a close visit is a long-term loss.
Pass. Instead, bet on the run line and/or total.
Against run line/spread
Pittsburgh has lost three of its four losses to San Diego this season by a +1.5 margin. Neither starting pitcher was outstanding last week against Pittsburgh, and the Padres have beaten the Pirates by more than two runs just twice in their past 10 meetings.
Bet on the Pirates +1.5 (-115).
Over/Under
Ortiz has allowed four or more runs in two straight games, and King gave up four in Wednesday's game. Both offenses should bounce back from low scoring starts in the series, and this is one of the best numbers on the market.
Bet on 8 or more (+100).
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