Experts from the US War Institute recently observed increased Russian attack activities in the Donetsk region of northern Ukraine (Pokrousk and Zaiman), Zaporosky and the catfish circuit.
In the final case, the goal of the Russians is to force the Ukrainians to retreat from their occupied positions in the Kruski region of Russia.
Moscow is approaching. They “want to sow chaos.”
ISW emphasizes that Moscow has not made any major advances in these directions. The Ukrainian troops can still fight back in the Donetsk region.
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Meanwhile, the Russian army is approaching three kilometers to the border of Donetsk and Dnepropetrovsk regions, and as Kremlin analysts point out, the Kremlin will probably use future Russian advances (…) to use fear in the field of information. ”
The silence of ether. The Russians have plans
ISW points out that if Moscow’s goal is to launch an attack on the total in northern Ukraine, Russian headquarters will probably not shift its power from the Kruski region. Furthermore, the Kremlin does not have enough operational preparations to attack the Total, Harkiv and Zaporosier simultaneously, without the troops already being placed in other sections in the front.
“It is unlikely that Russian forces will be able to carry out three major attacks on Ukrainian cities, even after the reorganization, as Russia has suffered significant losses on armored vehicles and people in the last three years of combat,” indicating to ISW analysts.
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They also added that there are currently no reports from open source suggesting a shift from the rest of the front, from the total, from the Harkov and Zaporosier. So what is the Kremlin’s goal?
Offensive negotiations. New demands for the Kremlin
According to ISW, Russians want to get close enough to the amount, Harkov and Zaporosier to the city within their artillery. This is to ensure grounds for land surgery on weapons and the potential to paralyze civilian lives.
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Thus, Moscow has an advantage in peaceful negotiations, “justifying Russia’s future demands to pass through additional territory, including territory that Ukraine has not yet requested,” ISW analysts say.
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