The San Francisco Giants (67-66) and Milwaukee Brewers (75-56) meet in a three-game series on Wednesday at American Family Field, with the first pitch at 8:10 pm ET. Break down the Giants vs. Brewers odds line from BetMGM Sportsbook and make your best betting predictions and forecasts from MLB experts.
Season series: Giants lead 1-0
San Francisco won the series finale on Tuesday, 5-4. The Giants have hit three home runs and nine in their past four games.
Milwaukee's loss on Tuesday snapped a six-game home winning streak. The Brewers' pitchers have a 3.22 ERA and the team is 8-4 since Aug. 14.
Giants vs Brewers predicted starting lineup
LHP Kyle Harrison vs. RHP Freddy Peralta
Harrison (7-5, 4.00 ERA) is making his 23rd start and has a 1.30 WHIP, 92.9 BB/98.3 K/1 in 117 innings.
Last appearance: Aug. 19, 5-3 home win over the Chicago White Sox, 6 innings, 1 run, 5 hits, 2 walks, 5 strikeouts. 2024 road stats: 3-4 in 11 starts with a 4.61 ERA (56 2/3 innings, 29 runs), 1.39 WHIP and 7.3/9 strikeouts. Never faced the Brewers.
Peralta (8-7, 3.86 ERA) is making his 27th start and has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 142 1/3 innings.
Last appearance: Thursday against the St. Louis Cardinals in a no-decision game, losing 3-0 in five innings while allowing 0 runs, 3 hits, 2 walks and 2 strikeouts. 2024 home record: 4-4 in 13 starts with a 4.30 ERA (73 1/3 innings, 35 runs), a 1.16 WHIP and 10.3 strikeouts in 9 innings. Career record vs. Giants: 0-1 in three appearances (two starts) with a 6.75 ERA (5 1/3 innings, 4 runs), allowing 8 hits, 5 walks and 10 strikeouts. In his one start last year, he had a 15.43 ERA (2 1/3 innings, 4 runs). In his last 12 starts, he has a 3.26 ERA.
Who will hit a home run? Here are today's best home run predictions and our top picks. Enter BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to receive a $1,500 offer on your first bet.
Giants vs Brewers odds
Courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. For the complete list, visit the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.
Moneyline: Giants +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Brewers -165 (bet $165 to win $100) Runline (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-155) | Brewers -1.5 (+125) Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Giants vs Brewers predictions and forecasts
prediction
Brewers 5, Giants 4
Money Line
Passing: Look at the run line here for better leverage.
Against run line/spread
Looking at recent starting pitchers, the recent performance of both pitchers could be biased in favor of Peralta and the Brewers too much.
Both teams have played more one-run games than the league average (36, according to Baseball-Reference.com): the Giants have done it 40 times, the Brewers 42 times.
Milwaukee is hitting just .190/.274/.350 (.625 OPS) over its last 13 home games while allowing just 3.31 runs per game.
I'm backing the Giants +1.5 (-155).
Over/Under
The over is 35-22-6 in Milwaukee home games.
The over is leaning towards Tuesday's game, with the over being 3-1 in the past four meetings of the series. The over has also been the over in 10 of the Giants' past 15 road games.
If we compare the expected points/defense numbers to the actual points/defense numbers for both teams, we see a trend towards the over here.
Consider a partial unit play of OVER 8 (-110).
Join and win free Pick'em Challenges every day! Play now!
For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire. Twitter/X Like us on Facebook.
Fantasy Baseball Help from BaseballHQ.com:
Register now and get ahead of the competition.
Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting operators by referring viewers to betting services. Sports betting operators have no influence over, and such revenue is not in any way dependent on or linked to, our newsrooms or news coverage. Terms and conditions apply. Please see the operator's site for terms and conditions. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Call the National Council on Problem Gambling 24 hours a day, 7 days a week at 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, OH), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), or 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). You must be 21 years of age or older to gamble. Sports betting and gambling are not legal in all locations. Be sure to follow the applicable laws where you live.
