The Minnesota Twins (72-57) welcome the St. Louis Cardinals (64-65) to Target Field on Sunday for the final game of a three-game series, with first pitch at 2:10 PM ET. Break down FanDuel Sportsbook's lines on Twins vs. Cardinals odds and make your best betting predictions and forecasts from MLB experts.
Season series: 1-1 draw
The Twins have lost four of their last six games. They lost 6-1 in Friday's opener as +137 underdogs before winning 6-0 on Saturday as -135 favorites. The under hit in both games. Minnesota is 3-4 in their last seven home games and is 37-25 at Target Field this season and 62-67 overall. The Twins are tied with the Kansas City Royals for second in the AL Central and are two games behind the division-leading Cleveland Guardians.
The Cardinals have won three of their last four games and are in third place in the National League Central Division, 11 games behind the first-place Milwaukee Brewers. In their series against the Brewers, played Tuesday-Thursday, St. Louis won two of three games, outshooting Milwaukee, 15-9. The Cardinals are 64-65 in points scored this season and 30-35 on the road.
Cardinals vs. Twins predicted starting lineup
RHP Erick Fedde vs. RHP Zebby Matthews
Fedde (8-7, 3.39 ERA) is making his 26th start (fifth with St. Louis) and has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 143 1/3 innings with the Cardinals and Chicago White Sox.
Last start: 3-2 home loss against the Brewers on Tuesday, 5 2/3 innings, two runs allowed, six hits, four walks, two strikeouts 2024 away record: 2-4 in 14 starts, 4.52 ERA (79 2/3 innings, 40 runs allowed), 1.24 WHIP, 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings Acquired from the White Sox on July 29 Career record with Twins: 1-0 in two starts with the White Sox this year, 0.82 ERA (11 innings, one run allowed), 0.82 WHIP, 13.1 strikeouts per nine innings
Matthews (1-1, 3.60 ERA) is making his third start, and the rookie has posted a 1.10 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 in 10 innings.
Last start: Monday's 5-3 loss to the San Diego Padres, 5 innings, 2 runs (5 earned), 4 hits, 2 walks, 1 strikeout Never faced the Cardinals No. 6 prospect in the Twins organization 2024 performance with Triple-A St. Paul: 1-2 in 4 starts, 5.68 ERA (19 innings, 12 runs), 1.32 WHIP, 10.9 strikeouts per 9 innings
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Cardinals vs Twins odds
Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. For the complete list, visit the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.
Money Line (ML): Cardinals +116 (bet $100 to win $116) | Twins -136 (bet $136 to win $100) Run Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-182) | Twins -1.5 (+150) Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Cardinals vs Twins predictions and forecasts
prediction
Twins 4, Cardinals 3
Money Line
I'm betting on the Twins (-136).
The Twins are the sixth-best team in MLB at home this season, winning nine of their last 13 home games. Rookie Matthews is 1-0 at home.
The Cardinals have not performed well on the road this season, having won five games below .500 on the road.
Let's take a look at TWINS (-136).
Against run line/spread
Passed.
There's just not a good value here: the Cardinals are too expensive as a run-line underdog, and the Twins are too risky as a run-line favorite, especially with how well St. Louis is doing.
Avoid this play.
Over/Under
Bet on 8.5 or less (-105).
The Cardinals have gone under in six of their last seven games and have scored three or fewer points in four of those games. Their O/U is 60-65-4 this season, so they are also slightly under-trending.
The Twins are 6-4 in their last 10 games and have scored five runs or less in eight of their last 10 games. Considering both pitchers have ERAs under 4.00, it's likely they won't generate many runs in the first few innings. Bet the under at 8.5 (-105).
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