Marcin Tybura of Poland and Sergey Spivac of Moldova face off during the weigh-in for UFC Fight Night at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Al Powers/Zuffa LLC)
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UFC's next fight card, UFC Vegas 95, takes place tomorrow at the UFC Apex. The UFC Fight Night event will feature a rematch as the main event, with No. 10 ranked heavyweight Marcin Tybura and Sergey Spivak facing off for the second time. Let's take a look at the betting odds, lines, prop bets and predictions for Saturday's fight card.
The main card of UFC Vegas 95 will begin at 7 pm ET on ESPN, while the preliminary card for the fight night event will begin at 5 pm ET on the same streaming service.
Tybura (25-8) is the No. 8 fighter in UFC's official heavyweight rankings. Spivak (16-4) is the No. 9 UFC heavyweight fighter. The two first faced off in February 2020. Tybura won that bout via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28).
UFC Vegas 95 Main Event: Marcin Tybura vs. Sergey Spivac 2
LAS VEGAS, NV – AUGUST 09: Marcin Tybura of Poland poses on the weigh-in scale during the UFC APEX weigh-in on August 9, 2024 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Al Powers/Zuffa LLC)
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When UFC announced the main event for Saturday's fight card, the betting odds were very close, with Tybura at -102 and Spivak at -118. As fight day approaches, the odds have shifted in Spivak's favor. Tybura is currently a +136 underdog, while Spivak is a -177 favorite.
Tybura is expected to win this fight by decision.
UFC Las Vegas 95 Co-Main Event: Damon Jackson vs. Chepe Mariscal
LAS VEGAS, NV – AUGUST 09: (L-R) Opponents Damon Jackson and Chepe Mariscal face off during the weigh-in for UFC APEX on August 9, 2024 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Al Powers/Zuffa LLC)
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The co-main event on tomorrow's fight card is a featherweight bout. This is a last-minute replacement, but the betting lines have changed. When Jackson vs. Mariscal was announced, Jackson was +190 and Mariscal was -230. Today, Jackson is the underdog at +170 and Mariscal is the favorite at -205.
The prediction for this bout is a decision victory for Mariscal.
UFC Las Vegas 95: Danny Barlow vs. Nikolai Veretennikov
LAS VEGAS, NV – AUGUST 09: (L-R) Ukrainian opponents Danny Barlow and Nikolai Veretennikov compete during the UFC weigh-ins at UFC APEX on August 9, 2024 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Al Powers/Zuffa LLC)
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In the middle of Saturday's main card is a welterweight bout between Danny Barlow and Nikolai Veretennikov. There's been some big moves in this bout. Barlow opened at -285 and Veretennikov at +230. Today, Barlow is the -400 betting favorite over Veretennikov at +280.
The betting prediction is for Barlow to win by knockout, but there isn’t much value in Barlow so you might be better off betting on the odds and betting on Beretennikov.
UFC Las Vegas 95: Chris Gutierrez vs. Quang Le
LAS VEGAS, NV – AUGUST 9: (L-R) Contenders Chris Gutierrez and Quang Le of Vietnam face off… (+) During the UFC weigh-in at UFC APEX on August 9, 2024 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Al Powers/Zuffa LLC)
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This bantamweight bout is a last-minute substitution as Quan Lae takes on Chris Gutierrez in place of Javaid Basharat. Despite the bout being announced at short notice, there has been some big movement in the betting lines. Gutierrez started at -360 and is now -650, while Lae started at +270 and is now +410.
It's not worth betting on, but I expect Gutierrez to win by decision. Again, it might be worth betting on the Dog purely for value.
UFC Vegas 95: Jana Santos vs. Chelsea Chandler
LAS VEGAS, NV – AUGUST 9: (LR) Russian competitors Jana Santos and Chelsea Chandler face off… (+) during the UFC weigh-ins at UFC APEX on August 9, 2024 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Al Powers/Zuffa LLC)
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Jana Santos vs. Chelsea Chandler was scheduled to be at bantamweight, but Chandler missed weight by 5 pounds. This weight difference would have been Chandler's third time overweight in three attempts at 135 pounds, which is never a good thing. Anyway, the betting odds. The fight started with no idea who would win, with Santos at -105 and Chandler at -115. Today, Santos is at -160 and Chandler at +115.
I predict Chandler will win by decision.
UFC Vegas 95: Toshiomi Kazama vs. Chalampos Grigoriou
LAS VEGAS, NV – AUGUST 9: (L-R) Opponents Toshiomi Kazama of Japan and Charalampos Grigoriou of Cyprus face off during the UFC weigh-ins at UFC APEX on August 9, 2024 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Al Powers/Zuffa LLC)
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Tomorrow's UFC Fight Night main card will feature a bantamweight bout between Tosiomi Kazamavs and Charalampos Grigoriou. Kazamavs opened as a +180 underdog while Grigoriou was -218. Today, Grigoriou is -278 while Kazamavs is +205.
Grigoriou is expected to win by knockout.
UFC Vegas 95 prop bets to consider
Tybura vs Spivak Round 2 3.5: -110
Santos vs. Chandler goes to decision: -295
Grigoriov beats Kazama by KO: -110
Barlow beats Veretennikov by knockout: +110
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