“According to a preliminary assessment, new US tariffs can reduce Poland’s GDP by 0.4%, meaning it will exceed 10 billion with carefully simplified losses. There will be a serious and unpleasant blow from the nearest allies.
cłatumpa. Fang vs. right
Media calculates the entire Polish industry, and even individual factories that could lose US tariffs. At the same time, there is no doubt that the task entries are political. The Polish Prime Minister has responded to all opposition parties who accused him of leaving America and even want to drive her out of Europe. He points out Donald Trump as an offensive aspect, and in himself and his camp, as people who are, after all, ready for friendship and are bravely allied with America.
More open political commentary was given by the head of Mszradosław Sikorski. He explained that the European Union had explained that it was obliged by Trump and Russia, so he asked for the rights. This coincides with the tactics of the leaders of the Civic Union. They criticize PI more than Trump himself for being the subject of the new American administration.
What about the correct PIS? Her message that day was criticism of the government for the task that he refused to negotiate the height of new tariffs on behalf of the Trump team and the entire European Union. After all, Poland is the EU presidency. This is the alleged claim. We are dealing with a very bad Polish government, perhaps the worst thing since 1989. But in this case, Trump has a very obvious approach to shock therapy. None of the 185 countries covered in duties had the opportunity to negotiate.
Perhaps for now, there will be a time when Trump will only negotiate for now. Certainly, trade consultations are not a national challenge for the presidency. This is the European Commission’s professional camera task.
united states of america. Trump reaches Republican roots
It is interesting to see Trump’s attachment to customs tariff thinking as a recipe for American prosperity. This reference – the question is how conscious we are about the Republican tradition that surrounded the customs whales in the second half of the 19th century. Things were the subject of political conflict. Republicans represented a variety of business industries interested in protecting, regardless of rising product prices. Democrats were on behalf of consumers and were concerned about the road, but the sector of the economy lost in high duties.
The conflict had almost a symbolic nature. In fact, because we didn’t know until the end what the outcome of such or other tariffs on the entire administration was. There was a belief that protection customs policy in 1929 caused a major crisis. This is because it caused a weaker US-Europa trade in the economy and weaker fiscal policies of both parties. Economic historians then began to undermine this classification of assumption, pointing to other factors. However, the high obligations and the impact of customs wars behind it on the deteriorating economic situation of the world cannot be ruled out.
Since the time of Franklin Delano Roosevelt, the president has received a power of attorney pursuing customs policy. After World War II, democratic teams as Republicans became increasingly open to the import of competitors by the American economy. It also had a political nature. In this way, the United States was supported by non-communist countries. But it also stems from a very general vision of the world. Republicans were once creators of the doctrine of protecting the American economy. Now their President Ronald Reagan (1981-1989) has preached praise for the free flow of capital and goods. This was to become a condition for greater prosperity.
It just means that it happened before the era of a major attack on the Chinese economy. Trump sometimes recalls Reagan as a model, but he fundamentally rejected his philosophy. He sees the threat to excessive economic globalization. The habit is to stop her for the benefit of America.
And let us say ourselves: we don’t know what it will end. So far, the perfect nature of the new customs shaft is impressive. Former Republican tariffs differentiated the exact load based on the type of goods. This was influenced by prominent lobbyists, but since the 1920s the market has been trying to study the market in this respect.
Trump “punishes” the European Union with a 20% burden on everything (and is actually added to the old obligation). China, the most important competitor, has 34% of the mission. Dutch also falls into a developing economy. The Heard and MacDonald’s islands of Australia, Australia’s territory, were already recognized as symbols. No one lives above them, but they were burdened.
This is presented as a result of Trump’s insanity. It is not necessary to do this, but the form is violent, but it is impossible to implement the US policies of previous eras. First of all, let’s repeat it. It is difficult to rule out the soothing effects of negotiations. At the same time, Trump’s website has already mentioned a long list of companies ready to move productions or at least invest in America. From Apple to Siemens. These are both repeating American and foreign entities. This is the purpose of this operation.
It is also difficult to predict the economic impact of customs war on the global economy. Perhaps a new balance will be achieved in a few months. Or maybe we’ll get a global recession. Economics is not an exact science at all.
At least the majority of Americans themselves don’t like previewing patents. This applies to Republican voters as well. The prospect of creating new jobs is not so convincing at the moment. It’s probably the impact of media warnings, at least part of Wall Street Finance, and has always been interested in globally as the most common sales.
US duties. Questions about allies
We still have political influences. I do not carefully track Jacek Bartosiak’s work. His various predictions have been weakened multiple times. But he is right when he says that the rules of free (at least in part) trade are also the binder of the political alliance system. This applies to one side of Europe. Let’s not repeat the phrase any more mechanically about pushing the US out of it. Trump consciously chooses American political loneliness. Brussels risks cheating with the Chinese. Will it balance the temptation to welcome Washington and Putin?
On the other hand, this applies to other parts of the world as well. The US president wants to compete with China more than anything else, but the overall characteristics of his customs push the nations from the United States, such as Japan, South Korea and Vietnam. Did they also scathingly burden it with how much it pushed them into the Chinese embrace? It’s just done. Since 1949, even Taiwan has suffered from 32% tariffs for American care. Perhaps this will be missed in some negotiations. What if not? For now, everyone in these countries is protesting it.
For decades, more American teams played in trade turnover, acquisition of friends, and at least liberalisation of neutral creation. This was particularly relevant to poorer parts of the world. Game rates can be rewarded for yourself. What happens if a global crisis scenario is fulfilled? This cannot be ruled out.
This complicates the euroskeptical alt-right opposition situation in many European countries. She felt the heat of Trump’s “care.” It was merely the subject of Elon Musk’s courtship. Now he can be portrayed as a partner in the European economy. When so many factors began to support her.
Mainstream European policies force a hasty centralization of unions, which has previously been arrogant and not so inappropriate. But we can see that Trump is not useful for use at this moment. Even legal oppression is easy enough to attack opposition. Otherwise, even Musk’s interest in America alone will suffer new tariffs.
This unknown note, but perhaps the disadvantageous tendencies may be applied to a lesser degree, as they distance themselves from America and the alliance. Before submitting to Europe to control the EU bureaucracy, otherwise correct attention is presented (and in Paris and Berlin) as an action for a common economic enemy.
How effective is it? And here we rely on the impact of the new tariffs. Today, when we don’t know them yet, Donald Tass and Rafau Truzaskowski will certainly benefit from a sense of uncertainty in the presidential election. It’s not the main topic, but it will appear.
“Graffiti” dworczyk: This is a preparation to eliminate opposition candidates.
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